The following tables have treatment in columns and strata in rows.
| cash | information | psychological | control | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syr,M,< HS,never emp | 25 | 22 | 41 | 33 |
| Syr,M,< HS,ever emp | 49 | 38 | 51 | 50 |
| Syr,M,>= HS,never emp | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Syr,M,>= HS,ever emp | 3 | 2 | 7 | 8 |
| Syr,F,< HS,never emp | 74 | 62 | 84 | 77 |
| Syr,F,< HS,ever emp | 17 | 15 | 16 | 23 |
| Syr,F,>= HS,never emp | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Syr,F,>= HS,ever emp | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Jor,M,< HS,never emp | 26 | 27 | 29 | 58 |
| Jor,M,< HS,ever emp | 27 | 66 | 64 | 48 |
| Jor,M,>= HS,never emp | 11 | 12 | 5 | 3 |
| Jor,M,>= HS,ever emp | 24 | 12 | 20 | 31 |
| Jor,F,< HS,never emp | 45 | 95 | 89 | 59 |
| Jor,F,< HS,ever emp | 25 | 38 | 42 | 27 |
| Jor,F,>= HS,never emp | 26 | 22 | 30 | 18 |
| Jor,F,>= HS,ever emp | 10 | 11 | 40 | 26 |
| cash | information | psychological | control | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syr,M,< HS,never emp | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Syr,M,< HS,ever emp | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| Syr,M,>= HS,never emp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Syr,M,>= HS,ever emp | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Syr,F,< HS,never emp | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Syr,F,< HS,ever emp | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Syr,F,>= HS,never emp | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Syr,F,>= HS,ever emp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jor,M,< HS,never emp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Jor,M,< HS,ever emp | 1 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| Jor,M,>= HS,never emp | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Jor,M,>= HS,ever emp | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jor,F,< HS,never emp | 1 | 6 | 4 | 1 |
| Jor,F,< HS,ever emp | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Jor,F,>= HS,never emp | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jor,F,>= HS,ever emp | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| cash | information | psychological | control | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syr,M,< HS,never emp | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.06 |
| Syr,M,< HS,ever emp | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| Syr,M,>= HS,never emp | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.33 |
| Syr,M,>= HS,ever emp | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Syr,F,< HS,never emp | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Syr,F,< HS,ever emp | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| Syr,F,>= HS,never emp | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Syr,F,>= HS,ever emp | 0.00 | 0.00 | NaN | 0.00 |
| Jor,M,< HS,never emp | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Jor,M,< HS,ever emp | 0.04 | 0.09 | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Jor,M,>= HS,never emp | 0.09 | 0.25 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Jor,M,>= HS,ever emp | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Jor,F,< HS,never emp | 0.02 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| Jor,F,< HS,ever emp | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| Jor,F,>= HS,never emp | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 0.00 |
| Jor,F,>= HS,ever emp | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| cash | information | psychological | control | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syr,M,< HS,never emp | 0.05 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| Syr,M,< HS,ever emp | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| Syr,M,>= HS,never emp | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| Syr,M,>= HS,ever emp | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| Syr,F,< HS,never emp | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| Syr,F,< HS,ever emp | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| Syr,F,>= HS,never emp | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| Syr,F,>= HS,ever emp | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| Jor,M,< HS,never emp | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.07 |
| Jor,M,< HS,ever emp | 0.04 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| Jor,M,>= HS,never emp | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| Jor,M,>= HS,ever emp | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| Jor,F,< HS,never emp | 0.04 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.04 |
| Jor,F,< HS,ever emp | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| Jor,F,>= HS,never emp | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| Jor,F,>= HS,ever emp | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| stratum | cash | information | psychological | control |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syr,M,< HS,never emp | 0.20 | 0.09 | 0.20 | 0.51 |
| Syr,M,< HS,ever emp | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.22 | 0.53 |
| Syr,M,>= HS,never emp | 0.13 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.52 |
| Syr,M,>= HS,ever emp | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.28 | 0.42 |
| Syr,F,< HS,never emp | 0.39 | 0.07 | 0.36 | 0.19 |
| Syr,F,< HS,ever emp | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| Syr,F,>= HS,never emp | 0.29 | 0.18 | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| Syr,F,>= HS,ever emp | 0.16 | 0.22 | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| Jor,M,< HS,never emp | 0.10 | 0.07 | 0.17 | 0.66 |
| Jor,M,< HS,ever emp | 0.03 | 0.23 | 0.30 | 0.44 |
| Jor,M,>= HS,never emp | 0.08 | 0.61 | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Jor,M,>= HS,ever emp | 0.14 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.62 |
| Jor,F,< HS,never emp | 0.11 | 0.49 | 0.26 | 0.14 |
| Jor,F,< HS,ever emp | 0.21 | 0.41 | 0.14 | 0.24 |
| Jor,F,>= HS,never emp | 0.20 | 0.28 | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| Jor,F,>= HS,ever emp | 0.09 | 0.11 | 0.41 | 0.39 |
| stratum | cash | information | psychological | control |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syr,M,< HS,never emp | 0.21 | 0.12 | 0.21 | 0.46 |
| Syr,M,< HS,ever emp | 0.14 | 0.16 | 0.22 | 0.48 |
| Syr,M,>= HS,never emp | 0.15 | 0.18 | 0.20 | 0.47 |
| Syr,M,>= HS,ever emp | 0.15 | 0.20 | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| Syr,F,< HS,never emp | 0.36 | 0.11 | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| Syr,F,< HS,ever emp | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| Syr,F,>= HS,never emp | 0.28 | 0.20 | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| Syr,F,>= HS,ever emp | 0.18 | 0.23 | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| Jor,M,< HS,never emp | 0.13 | 0.11 | 0.18 | 0.58 |
| Jor,M,< HS,ever emp | 0.07 | 0.24 | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| Jor,M,>= HS,never emp | 0.12 | 0.54 | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| Jor,M,>= HS,ever emp | 0.16 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.55 |
| Jor,F,< HS,never emp | 0.14 | 0.44 | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| Jor,F,< HS,ever emp | 0.22 | 0.38 | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| Jor,F,>= HS,never emp | 0.21 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| Jor,F,>= HS,ever emp | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| stratum | cash | information | psychological | control |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syr,M,< HS,never emp | (0.01, 0.09) | (0.00, 0.08) | (0.02, 0.08) | (0.03, 0.12) |
| Syr,M,< HS,ever emp | (0.02, 0.09) | (0.02, 0.11) | (0.03, 0.11) | (0.04, 0.14) |
| Syr,M,>= HS,never emp | (0.01, 0.11) | (0.00, 0.13) | (0.01, 0.11) | (0.03, 0.19) |
| Syr,M,>= HS,ever emp | (0.01, 0.10) | (0.00, 0.14) | (0.03, 0.14) | (0.03, 0.16) |
| Syr,F,< HS,never emp | (0.01, 0.07) | (0.00, 0.05) | (0.01, 0.07) | (0.00, 0.06) |
| Syr,F,< HS,ever emp | (0.01, 0.08) | (0.00, 0.09) | (0.02, 0.11) | (0.02, 0.11) |
| Syr,F,>= HS,never emp | (0.02, 0.13) | (0.00, 0.13) | (0.01, 0.11) | (0.01, 0.14) |
| Syr,F,>= HS,ever emp | (0.01, 0.10) | (0.00, 0.14) | (0.02, 0.12) | (0.01, 0.14) |
| Jor,M,< HS,never emp | (0.01, 0.07) | (0.00, 0.07) | (0.01, 0.08) | (0.03, 0.11) |
| Jor,M,< HS,ever emp | (0.01, 0.09) | (0.04, 0.13) | (0.05, 0.14) | (0.05, 0.16) |
| Jor,M,>= HS,never emp | (0.02, 0.11) | (0.04, 0.25) | (0.03, 0.15) | (0.01, 0.14) |
| Jor,M,>= HS,ever emp | (0.01, 0.09) | (0.00, 0.10) | (0.01, 0.09) | (0.03, 0.14) |
| Jor,F,< HS,never emp | (0.01, 0.07) | (0.03, 0.10) | (0.03, 0.08) | (0.01, 0.08) |
| Jor,F,< HS,ever emp | (0.03, 0.13) | (0.03, 0.15) | (0.03, 0.11) | (0.03, 0.13) |
| Jor,F,>= HS,never emp | (0.01, 0.09) | (0.01, 0.11) | (0.02, 0.09) | (0.01, 0.10) |
| Jor,F,>= HS,ever emp | (0.01, 0.09) | (0.00, 0.10) | (0.04, 0.13) | (0.03, 0.13) |
Comparison of the average potential outcomes for the actually chosen treatment assignment to the average that would have obtained under random assignment, \[\begin{align*} \Delta_1 &= \tfrac{1}{N} \sum_{i,t} \left ( \hat E\left [\theta^{D_{it} X_{it}} \right ] - \tfrac{1}{4} \sum_d \hat E\left [\theta^{d X_{it}}\right ] \right )\\ &=0.002 \end{align*}\]
Comparison of the optimal targeted policy, and the optimal non-targeted policy, to the default of (treatment \(0\)), \[\begin{align*} \Delta_2 &= \sum_x \left ( \max_d \hat E\left [\theta^{dx} \right ] - \hat E\left [\theta^{0x} \right ] \right ) p^x\\ &= 0.007, \\ \Delta_3 &= \max_d \sum_x \left (\hat E\left [\theta^{dx} \right ] - \hat E\left [\theta^{0x} \right ] \right ) p^x \\ &= 0. \end{align*}\]
95% credible sets: \[\begin{align*} \Delta_1: &\quad (0.00, 0.00)\\ \Delta_2: &\quad (-0.01, 0.03)\\ \Delta_3: &\quad (0.00, 0.00) \end{align*}\]
90% credible sets: \[\begin{align*} \Delta_1: &\quad (0.00, 0.00)\\ \Delta_2: &\quad (-0.01, 0.02)\\ \Delta_3: &\quad (0.00, 0.00) \end{align*}\]